Equities: Stock ratings and basis f

Equities: Stock ratings and basis for financial analysis
HSBC believes that investors utilise various disciplines and investment horizons when making investment decisions, which
depend largely on individual circumstances such as the investor's existing holdings, risk tolerance and other considerations.
Given these differences, HSBC has two principal aims in its equity research: 1) to identify long-term investment opportunities
based on particular themes or ideas that may affect the future earnings or cash flows of companies on a 12 month time horizon;
and 2) from time to time to identify short-term investment opportunities that are derived from fundamental, quantitative,
technical or event-driven techniques on a 0-3 month time horizon and which may differ from our long-term investment rating.
HSBC has assigned ratings for its long-term investment opportunities as described below.
This report addresses only the long-term investment opportunities of the companies referred to in the report. As and when
HSBC publishes a short-term trading idea the stocks to which these relate are identified on the website at
www.hsbcnet.com/research. Details of these short-term investment opportunities can be found under the Reports section of this
website.
HSBC believes an investor's decision to buy or sell a stock should depend on individual circumstances such as the investor's
existing holdings and other considerations. Different securities firms use a variety of ratings terms as well as different rating
systems to describe their recommendations. Investors should carefully read the definitions of the ratings used in each research
report. In addition, because research reports contain more complete information concerning the analysts' views, investors
should carefully read the entire research report and should not infer its contents from the rating. In any case, ratings should not
be used or relied on in isolation as investment advice.

For each stock we set a required rate of return calculated from the cost of equity for that stock’s domestic or, as appropriate,
regional market established by our strategy team. The price target for a stock represents the value the analyst expects the stock
to reach over our performance horizon. The performance horizon is 12 months. For a stock to be classified as Overweight, the
potential return, which equals the percentage difference between the current share price and the target price, including the
forecast dividend yield when indicated, must exceed the required return by at least 5 percentage points over the next 12 months
(or 10 percentage points for a stock classified as Volatile*). For a stock to be classified as Underweight, the stock must be
expected to underperform its required return by at least 5 percentage points over the next 12 months (or 10 percentage points
for a stock classified as Volatile*). Stocks between these bands are classified as Neutral.
Our ratings are re-calibrated against these bands at the time of any 'material change' (initiation of coverage, change of volatility
status or change in price target). Notwithstanding this, and although ratings are subject to ongoing management review,
expected returns will be permitted to move outside the bands as a result of normal share price fluctuations without necessarily
triggering a rating change.






NDP issued profit warning, revising sale and profit forecast downward the rating agencie responded with another downgrade, Fitch pushing NDP's outstanding note down to BB- According to Financial morningstar, reported to the gross profit of company has a growth rate in 2006-2014 that means NDP is not trouble.
Although she took a high level of risk by in high dept it's because preparation for the future and she would be the first in the market that can buil the confident for a potential investor

y January 2009 the world economy was spiraling downward. Squeezed by market conditions and
burdened by debt, Nine Dragons Paper (NDP), the largest paperboard manufacturer in Asia and second largest
in the world, saw its share price drop to HK$ 2.33, 90% off its high and less than half of book value. As the
economic crisis of 2008 bled into 2009, export-oriented industries suffered. Rumors had been buzzing since
October that NDP was on the ropes. It was carrying so much debt that more than one analyst was asking "Will
they go bust?" Was the financial crisis of 2008 about to claim another victim, or had friction between the
global economic crisis and the company's debt ignited jittery nerves in the global markets?


จากรูปภาพที่5 Fitch pushing NDP has been investing at an incredible pace – best demonstrated by comparing the company’s cash flows from operating activities in 2007 and 2008 with the cash flows from investing activities. The short-fall in operating cash flow must then be made up by financing activities – which has been both raising equity and debt – but mostly debt
NDP has clearly been profitable in recent years, and demonstrates a high rate of profitability one would not ordinarily see in this type of semi-commodity based business
NDP’s rate of profitability, however, has been sliding, reflecting rising input prices and greater competitive markets for its products
The company’s growing debt burden is large and getting larger; most analysts and investors clearly wish Mrs. Cheung would slow her capital expenditure plan – at least a bit – to take growing cash flow and debt-service pressure off the company during the global recession and credit crisis