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Global climate models (GCM) are the main tool used to studythe future climate. According to Giorgi and Lionello (2008), thestudy of several GCM simulations shows ‘‘a robust and consistentpicture of climate change over the Mediterranean emerges, consistingof a pronounced decrease in precipitation, especially inthe warm season, except for the northern Mediterranean areas(e.g. the Alps) in winter”. It is also expected that the variability increases.In fact, according to Giorgi (2006) the Mediterranean basinis one of the planet’s hot-spots of climate change.
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