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Mundell (1963) is the first to show that expected inflation has a real economic effect using theIS-LM curves. He argues that the money rate of interest rises by less than the rate of inflationand therefore that the real rate of interest falls during inflation. He assumes that realinvestment depends on the real interest rate and real saving on real balances and also inflationdecreases real money balances. This creates decline in wealth which in turn stimulatesincreased saving. He claims that the advantages and disadvantages of inflation are not onlydue to the failure of the community to anticipate it. Expectation of fluctuations in the rate ofinflation has real effects on economic activity. When prices are expected to increase, themoney rate of interest rises by less than the rate of inflation giving impetus to an investmentboom and an acceleration of growth and vice versa.
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