This paper has examined the behavior of the exchange rate of the Indon translation - This paper has examined the behavior of the exchange rate of the Indon Indonesian how to say

This paper has examined the behavio

This paper has examined the behavior of the exchange rate of the Indonesian rupiah against the U.S. dollar. Four different models have been tested in empirical work. In the PPP model, based on the value of adjusted R2, the standard error of the coefficient, and the mean absolute percent error, the regression with the relative PPI shows better results than the regression with the relative CPI. In the uncovered inte
rest parity, the coefficient of the interest rate differential has a wrong sign and is insignificant whereas the expected exchange rate is positive and highly
significant. In the monetary models, the Bils on model and the Frenkel model apply to the IDR/USD exchange rate whereas the Dornbusch model and the Frankel model are not applicable. In the extended Mundell-Fleming model, more real money supply, a smaller government spending/GDP ratio, a lower stock price, a higher domestic interest rate, and a higher expected inflation rate would cause the rupiah to depreciate. Excluding the UIP model, the monetary models and the extended Mundell-Fleming model exhibit smaller forecast errors than the PPP model. Based on the value of adjusted R2 and the correct sign and significance of the coefficients, the Bilson model performs best here may be areas for future research. The positive insignificant coefficient of the interest rate differential in the UIP model may suggest that more work needs to be done in the study of exchange rate movements for Indonesia. The expected exchange rate and the expected inflation rate play important roles in the determination of the exchange rate and may need to be constructed with more advanced methodologies
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Results (Indonesian) 1: [Copy]
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Karya ini telah diteliti perilaku nilai tukar Rupiah Indonesia terhadap dolar AS. Empat model yang berbeda telah diuji dalam pekerjaan empiris. Dalam model PPP, berdasarkan nilai R2 disesuaikan, kesalahan standar koefisien, dan kesalahan persen berarti mutlak, regresi dengan PPI relatif menunjukkan hasil yang lebih baik daripada regresi dengan CPI relatif. Dalam inte ditemukansisanya paritas, Koefisien dari tingkat bunga diferensial memiliki tanda yang salah dan tidak signifikan sedangkan nilai tukar yang diharapkan positif dan sangat significant. In the monetary models, the Bils on model and the Frenkel model apply to the IDR/USD exchange rate whereas the Dornbusch model and the Frankel model are not applicable. In the extended Mundell-Fleming model, more real money supply, a smaller government spending/GDP ratio, a lower stock price, a higher domestic interest rate, and a higher expected inflation rate would cause the rupiah to depreciate. Excluding the UIP model, the monetary models and the extended Mundell-Fleming model exhibit smaller forecast errors than the PPP model. Based on the value of adjusted R2 and the correct sign and significance of the coefficients, the Bilson model performs best here may be areas for future research. The positive insignificant coefficient of the interest rate differential in the UIP model may suggest that more work needs to be done in the study of exchange rate movements for Indonesia. The expected exchange rate and the expected inflation rate play important roles in the determination of the exchange rate and may need to be constructed with more advanced methodologies
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Results (Indonesian) 2:[Copy]
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Makalah ini telah meneliti perilaku nilai tukar rupiah Indonesia terhadap dolar AS. Empat model yang berbeda telah diuji dalam pekerjaan empiris. Dalam model PPP, berdasarkan nilai disesuaikan R2, standard error dari koefisien, dan kesalahan persen berarti mutlak, regresi dengan PPI relatif menunjukkan hasil yang lebih baik daripada regresi dengan CPI relatif. Dalam terungkap inte
paritas istirahat, koefisien perbedaan suku bunga memiliki tanda yang salah dan tidak signifikan sedangkan nilai tukar yang diharapkan adalah positif dan sangat
signifikan. Dalam model moneter, Bils pada model dan model Frenkel berlaku untuk nilai tukar / USD IDR sedangkan model Dornbusch dan model Frankel tidak berlaku. Dalam model Mundell-Fleming diperpanjang, uang beredar lebih nyata, rasio yang lebih kecil pengeluaran pemerintah / PDB, harga saham yang lebih rendah, tingkat bunga domestik yang lebih tinggi, dan tingkat inflasi yang lebih tinggi diharapkan akan menyebabkan rupiah terdepresiasi. Termasuk model UIP, model moneter dan Mundell-Fleming Model pameran kesalahan prediksi yang lebih kecil diperpanjang dari model PPP. Berdasarkan nilai adjusted R2 dan tanda yang benar dan signifikansi koefisien, model Bilson melakukan yang terbaik di sini mungkin daerah untuk penelitian masa depan. Koefisien tidak signifikan positif dari perbedaan suku bunga dalam model UIP mungkin menunjukkan bahwa lebih banyak pekerjaan yang harus dilakukan dalam studi pergerakan nilai tukar untuk Indonesia. Nilai tukar yang diharapkan dan inflasi tingkat bermain diharapkan peran penting dalam penentuan nilai tukar dan mungkin perlu dibangun dengan lebih metodologi canggih
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